Matador Resources Company Announces 2019 Operating Plan and Market Guidance
Full Year 2019 Guidance Summary
Matador’s full year 2019 guidance estimates are summarized in the table below.
Guidance Metric |
Actual
2018 Results |
2019 Guidance |
% YoY
Change(1) |
||||||
Total Oil Production | 11.1 million Bbl | 12.9 to 13.3 million Bbl | +18 % | ||||||
Total Natural Gas Production | 47.3 Bcf | 55.0 to 57.0 Bcf | +18 % | ||||||
Total Oil Equivalent Production | 19.0 million BOE | 22.0 to 22.8 million BOE | +18 % | ||||||
Adjusted EBITDA(2) | $553 million | $520 to $550 million | -3% | ||||||
D/C/E CapEx(3) | $686 million | $640 to $680 million | -4% | ||||||
Midstream CapEx(4) | $85 million | $55 to $75 million | -24% | ||||||
|
|||||||||
Commodity Prices |
Actual
2018 Results |
2019 Projections |
% YoY
Change |
||||||
Realized Unhedged Oil Price(2) | $57.04 per barrel | $49.80 per barrel | -13% | ||||||
Realized Unhedged Natural Gas Price(2) | $3.49 per Mcf | $2.88 per Mcf | -17% | ||||||
(1) Represents percentage change from 2018 actual results to the midpoint of 2019 guidance.
(2) Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. For full year 2019,
Adjusted EBITDA was estimated using strip prices for oil and natural gas
as of
(3) Capital expenditures associated with drilling, completing and equipping wells.
(4) Primarily reflects Matador’s proportionate share of capital
expenditures for
The full year 2019 guidance estimates presented in the table above are based upon the following key assumptions for 2019 drilling and completions activity, commodity prices, capital expenditures and operating expenses:
-
Six drilling rigs operating in the
Delaware Basin , including 73 gross (54.9 net) wells anticipated to be completed and turned to sales during 2019 and the drilling and completion of at least three salt water disposal wells, one in the Stebbins area and two in the Rustler Breaks asset area during 2019, including one salt water disposal well placed into service in the Rustler Breaks asset area inmid-February 2019 , by the Company’s midstream affiliate,San Mateo ; -
One drilling rig operating in
South Texas until its release in earlyFebruary 2019 , including eight gross (8.0 net) wells anticipated to be completed and turned to sales during 2019; -
Matador’s participation in a significant number of non-operated well
opportunities, including 69 gross (4.6 net) non-operated wells
anticipated to be completed and turned to sales in the
Delaware Basin and 16 gross (1.7 net) non-operated wells anticipated to be completed and turned to sales in theHaynesville shale during 2019; -
Oil and natural gas prices based on commodity futures strip prices as
of
mid-February 2019 , resulting in an estimated realized weighted average oil price of approximately$49.80 per barrel and an estimated realized weighted average natural gas price of$2.88 per Mcf, inclusive of the Company’s estimates for oil and natural gas price differentials, transportation costs and uplifts attributable to NGL revenues; -
Capital expenditures for drilling, completing and equipping wells
(“D/C/E capital expenditures”) of
$640 to $680 million , a decrease of 4% at the midpoint of 2019 guidance, as compared to full year 2018, and inclusive of an estimated$70 million in equipping and facilities costs and an estimated$29 million of capitalized general and administrative and interest expenses; and -
Midstream capital expenditures of
$55 to $75 million , a decrease of 24% at the midpoint of 2019 guidance, as compared to full year 2018. This estimate primarily reflects Matador’s proportionate share of San Mateo’s 2019 estimated capital expenditures of$180 to $220 million and also accounts for portions of the$50 million capital carry thatFive Point is expected to provide to Matador as part of the recently announcedSan Mateo expansion inEddy County, New Mexico . As a result, Matador has agreed to pay$25 million andFive Point has agreed to pay$125 million of the first$150 million in capital expenditures related to this expansion.
Management Comments
Joseph Wm. Foran, Matador’s Chairman and CEO, commented, “The Board, the
staff and I are pleased today to provide our 2019 operating plan and
market guidance. This year is off to a fast start for Matador, as
evidenced by the announcement yesterday of our second strategic
transaction with
“As noted in our fourth quarter and full year 2018 earnings release
provided today simultaneously with this release, we plan to focus on
executing the highest rate of return opportunities across our
“We see 2019 as a year of transition for Matador. Over the past several
years, we have built a high-quality
“As we build upon the success in our various asset areas in the northern
2019 Operating Plan
The table below provides Matador’s estimates for operated and non-operated wells to be completed and turned to sales during 2019. Additional details regarding our drilling and completions program for 2019 are provided in the sections that follow and in the slide presentation accompanying this release.
Operated | Non-Operated | Total |
Gross Operated |
|||||||||||||||||||
Asset/Operating Area |
Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net |
Well Completion Intervals |
|||||||||||||||
Rustler Breaks | 17 | 11.3 | 28 | 2.9 | 45 | 14.2 |
1-BC, 1-1BS, 6-WC A-XY,
2-WC A-Lower, 6-WC B-Blair, 1-WC D |
|||||||||||||||
Arrowhead | 8 | 5.2 | 5 | 0.2 | 13 | 5.4 | 4-2BS, 1-3BS, 2-WC A-XY, 1-WC B | |||||||||||||||
Ranger | 7 | 4.4 | 4 | 0.4 | 11 | 4.8 | 1-1BS, 1-2BS, 4-3BS, 1-WC A-XY | |||||||||||||||
Wolf/Jackson Trust | 12 | 9.0 | - | - | 12 | 9.0 |
2-2BS, 6-WC A-XY, 2-WC A-Lower, 2-WC B |
|||||||||||||||
Twin Lakes | 2 | 1.6 | - | - | 2 | 1.6 | 1-Morrow, 1-WC-Carb | |||||||||||||||
Antelope Ridge | 27 | 23.4 | 32 | 1.1 | 59 | 24.5 |
6-1BS, 1-2BS, 6-3BS, 3-WC A-XY,
10-WC A-Lower, 1-WC B |
|||||||||||||||
Delaware Basin | 73 | 54.9 | 69 | 4.6 | 142 | 59.5 | ||||||||||||||||
Eagle Ford Shale | 8 | 8.0 | - | - | 8 | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||
Haynesville Shale | - | - | 16 | 1.7 | 16 | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||
Total | 81 | 62.9 | 85 | 6.3 | 166 | 69.2 | ||||||||||||||||
Note: BC =
Matador began 2019 operating six drilling rigs in the
In 2019, Matador expects to continue transitioning its operations to an
increased use of multi-well pad drilling, enhanced stimulation designs,
including an increased use of in-basin sand, and the drilling and
completion of additional longer laterals (greater than one mile). The
fewer number of operated wells that the Company anticipates being
completed and turned to sales in the
In 2019, Matador estimates 30% of its gross operated wells completed and
turned to sales will have lateral lengths greater than one mile, as
compared to 9% in 2018. Matador estimates 70% of its gross operated
wells will have lateral lengths greater than one mile in 2020. These
longer laterals should be more capital efficient and should begin to
impact and further improve Matador’s well returns in the
Rustler Breaks and Antelope Ridge Asset Areas –
During 2019, Matador plans to continue to operate four drilling rigs
between the Rustler Breaks and Antelope Ridge asset areas, but the
Company has shifted its activity early in the year from Rustler Breaks
to Antelope Ridge in order to further delineate its Antelope Ridge
leasehold position and to hold by production more of its high quality
acreage position there. Further, in late 2019, Matador anticipates two
of its operated drilling rigs will begin drilling operations on one of
the key tracts Matador acquired in the
Arrowhead and Ranger Asset Areas –
In the Arrowhead and Ranger asset areas, Matador intends to continue
operating one drilling rig in 2019. This rig is currently drilling
several wells in the Ranger asset area, but beginning early in the
second quarter of 2019, this rig is scheduled to move to the Stebbins
leasehold area in the Arrowhead asset area and is expected to remain
there through most of the remainder of 2019 and for the foreseeable
future. Given (i) Matador’s recent success with wells drilled and
completed in the Second and Third Bone Spring formations in the Stebbins
and SST leasehold areas over the past two years, (ii) the Company’s
expectations regarding the prospectivity of the Wolfcamp formation in
this area and (iii) the efforts of Matador’s land department to execute
a series of trades and small acquisitions to block up this acreage
position, the Company expects to initiate a multi-year drilling program
on this acreage position, with the vast majority of wells expected to
have longer laterals with completed lateral lengths of up to two miles
in many instances. The Stebbins and SST leasehold areas, along with
other acreage in the Arrowhead asset area (the “Greater Stebbins Area”),
were part of the 25,500 gross acres dedicated to
To support Matador’s multi-year drilling program in the Greater Stebbins
Area,
Wolf and Jackson Trust Asset Areas -
Matador plans to continue operating one drilling rig in the
Stateline Asset Area –
Matador’s Stateline asset area includes 2,800 gross and net acres
acquired as part of the BLM Acquisition. Matador believes that the
Stateline asset area includes some of the best reservoir rock in the
In early 2020, Matador intends to move two of its operated drilling rigs to the Stateline asset area and initiate a multi-year drilling program there. Matador currently plans to develop this acreage block drilling two-mile laterals on the eastern side of the leasehold and approximately 2.5-mile laterals on the western side of the leasehold. Matador initially expects to drill four wells on each of the eastern and western tracts from two separate four-well pads. These eight wells are expected to be completed and turned to sales during the third quarter of 2020 after the expected completion of San Mateo’s expansion of the Black River Processing Plant.
As in the Greater Stebbins Area, to support Matador’s multi-year
drilling program in the Stateline asset area,
In addition, in order to have sufficient processing capacity for the
additional natural gas volumes expected to be produced from both the
Greater Stebbins Area and the Stateline asset area,
Matador also began 2019 operating one drilling rig in
Non-Operated Activity
Matador also anticipates an active non-operated drilling and completions
program in 2019. In 2019, the Company expects to participate in 69 gross
(4.6 net) non-operated wells completed and turned to sales in the
Matador also expects to participate in 16 gross (1.7 net) non-operated
wells in the
The Company does not expect to participate in any significant non-operated activity in the Eagle Ford shale during 2019.
2019 Production Estimates and Cadence
Matador’s estimated 2019 total oil equivalent production of 22.4 million barrels of oil equivalent (“BOE”), or an average daily oil equivalent production of 61,400 BOE per day (58% oil), at the midpoint of 2019 guidance, reflects a year-over-year increase of 18%, as compared to 19.0 million BOE (59% oil), or 52,100 BOE per day, produced in 2018. The Company anticipates its average daily oil equivalent production should increase 17% from 55,500 BOE per day in the fourth quarter of 2018 to 65,200 BOE per day in the fourth quarter of 2019.
Matador’s estimated 2019 total oil production of 13.1 million barrels, or an average daily oil production of 35,900 barrels per day, at the midpoint of 2019 guidance, reflects an increase of 18%, as compared to 11.1 million barrels, or 30,500 barrels of oil per day, produced in 2018. The Company anticipates its average daily oil production should increase 12% from 33,500 barrels of oil per day in the fourth quarter of 2018 to 37,500 barrels of oil per day in the fourth quarter of 2019.
Matador’s estimated 2019 total natural gas production of 56.0 billion
cubic feet, or an average daily natural gas production of 153.4 million
cubic feet per day, at the midpoint of 2019 guidance, reflects a
year-over-year increase of 18%, as compared to 47.3 billion cubic feet
of natural gas produced in 2018. The Company anticipates its average
daily natural gas production should increase 26% from 132.3 million
cubic feet per day in the fourth quarter of 2018 to 166.5 million cubic
feet per day in the fourth quarter of 2019. A significant portion of the
expected increase in natural gas production during 2019 is associated
with a significant increase in natural gas production from the
During 2019, Matador expects to drill more wells from multi-well pads,
including three times as many longer laterals (greater than one mile)
than in 2018. As a result, Matador expects its production growth to be
somewhat more uneven or “lumpy” than in previous years, with the third
quarter of 2019 anticipated to have the largest sequential increases in
oil and natural gas production. Owing primarily to the mix of wells
being drilled and the anticipated timing of completions, Matador
estimates its overall production growth in 2019 will be more heavily
weighted toward the latter half of the year. Oil production is expected
to increase 1 to 2% sequentially in each of the first two quarters of
2019, but is expected to increase by an additional 8 to 10% sequentially
in the third quarter and then remain relatively flat through the fourth
quarter. Natural gas production is estimated to increase 6 to 8%
sequentially in the first quarter of 2019 and remain relatively flat in
the second quarter, before increasing 9 to 11% sequentially in the third
quarter and another 3 to 5% sequentially in the fourth quarter as the
non-operated
First Quarter 2019 Production Estimates
During the first quarter of 2019, Matador estimates its production should increase as follows:
- Average daily oil equivalent production should increase 3 to 4% sequentially, as compared to 55,500 BOE per day in the fourth quarter of 2018;
- Average daily oil production should increase 1 to 2% sequentially, as compared to 33,500 barrels per day in the fourth quarter of 2018; and
- Average daily natural gas production should increase 6 to 8% sequentially, as compared to 132.3 million cubic feet per day in the fourth quarter of 2018.
Matador completed and turned to sales one gross (1.0 net) Eagle Ford
well during the fourth quarter of 2018. Three gross (3.0 net) additional
wells from the Company’s recent
The 6 to 8% sequential increase in estimated natural gas production from
the fourth quarter of 2018 to the first quarter of 2019 reflects the
better-than-expected results from three wells completed and turned to
sales recently in the
2019 Estimated Capital Expenditures
D/C/E Capital Expenditures
As noted in the summary table at the beginning of this press release,
Matador estimates D/C/E capital expenditures of
Matador’s 2019 D/C/E capital expenditures reflect an estimated 3 to 5%
in anticipated service cost deflation related specifically to hydraulic
fracturing operations, and the Company may achieve additional savings in
2019 through increased multi-well pad drilling, development in certain
areas where infrastructure is already in place and continued
improvements in operational efficiency across its acreage position.
Matador assumed limited use of in-basin sand in preparing its
stimulation cost estimates for 2019; however, the Company continues to
be pleased with the initial results from wells where it has tested
in-basin sand and estimates it could reduce D/C/E capital expenditures
by an additional
San Mateo Capital Expenditures
In 2019, Matador estimates it will incur midstream capital expenditures
of
The performance incentives attributable to the recently announced
San Mateo’s 2019 capital expenditures in the Rustler Breaks and Wolf
asset areas will be primarily directed to (i) San Mateo’s sixth
commercial salt water disposal well in the Rustler Breaks asset area,
which began drilling late in 2018 and was placed into service in
As part of San Mateo’s expansion into the Greater Stebbins Area and the
Stateline asset area in 2019 and 2020,
Conference Call Information
The Company will host a live conference call on
About
Matador is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration,
development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources
in
For more information, visit
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release includes “forward-looking statements” within the
meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and
Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
“Forward-looking statements” are statements related to future, not past,
events. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and
include any statement that does not directly relate to a current or
historical fact. In this context, forward-looking statements often
address expected future business and financial performance, and often
contain words such as “could,” “believe,” “would,” “anticipate,”
“intend,” “estimate,” “expect,” “may,” “should,” “continue,” “plan,”
“predict,” “potential,” “project,” “hypothetical,” “forecasted” and
similar expressions that are intended to identify forward-looking
statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain such
identifying words. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not
limited to, statements about guidance, projected or forecasted financial
and operating results, results in certain basins, objectives, project
timing, expectations and intentions and other statements that are not
historical facts. Actual results and future events could differ
materially from those anticipated in such statements, and such
forward-looking statements may not prove to be accurate. These
forward-looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties,
including, but not limited to, the following risks related to financial
and operational performance: general economic conditions; the Company’s
ability to execute its business plan, including whether its drilling
program is successful; changes in oil, natural gas and natural gas
liquids prices and the demand for oil, natural gas and natural gas
liquids; its ability to replace reserves and efficiently develop current
reserves; costs of operations; delays and other difficulties related to
producing oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; delays and other
difficulties related to regulatory and governmental approvals and
restrictions; its ability to make acquisitions on economically
acceptable terms; its ability to integrate acquisitions; availability of
sufficient capital to execute its business plan, including from future
cash flows, increases in its borrowing base and otherwise; weather and
environmental conditions; the operating results of the Company’s
midstream joint venture’s expansion of the Black River cryogenic
processing plant, including the timing of the recently announced further
expansion of such plant; the timing and operating results of the
buildout by the Company’s midstream joint venture of oil, natural gas
and water gathering and transportation systems and the drilling of any
additional salt water disposal wells, including in conjunction with the
expansion of the midstream joint venture’s services and assets into new
areas in
Supplemental Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Adjusted EBITDA
This press release includes the non-GAAP financial measure of Adjusted
EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA is a supplemental non-GAAP financial measure
that is used by management and external users of the Company’s
consolidated financial statements, such as industry analysts, investors,
lenders and rating agencies. “GAAP” means Generally Accepted Accounting
Principles in
Adjusted EBITDA should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, net income (loss) or net cash provided by operating activities as determined in accordance with GAAP or as an indicator of the Company’s operating performance or liquidity. Certain items excluded from Adjusted EBITDA are significant components of understanding and assessing a company’s financial performance, such as a company’s cost of capital and tax structure. Adjusted EBITDA may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of another company because all companies may not calculate Adjusted EBITDA in the same manner. The following table presents the calculation of Adjusted EBITDA and the reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to the GAAP financial measures of net income (loss) and net cash provided by operating activities, respectively, that are of a historical nature. Where references are pro forma, forward-looking, preliminary or prospective in nature, and not based on historical fact, the table does not provide a reconciliation. The Company could not provide such reconciliation without undue hardship because such Adjusted EBITDA numbers are estimations, approximations and/or ranges. In addition, it would be difficult for the Company to present a detailed reconciliation on account of many unknown variables for the reconciling items, including future income taxes, full-cost ceiling impairments, unrealized gains or losses on derivatives and gains or losses on asset sales and inventory impairments. For the same reasons, we are unable to address the probable significance of the unavailable information, which could be material to future results.
Year Ended December 31, |
||||||
(In thousands) | 2018 | |||||
Unaudited Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income: | ||||||
Net income attributable to Matador Resources Company shareholders | $ | 274,207 | ||||
Net income attributable to non-controlling interest in subsidiaries | 25,557 | |||||
Net income | $ | 299,764 | ||||
Interest expense | 41,327 | |||||
Total income tax benefit | (7,691 | ) | ||||
Depletion, depreciation and amortization | 265,142 | |||||
Accretion of asset retirement obligations | 1,530 | |||||
Unrealized gain on derivatives | (65,085 | ) | ||||
Stock-based compensation expense | 17,200 | |||||
Net loss on asset sales and inventory impairment | 196 | |||||
Prepayment premium on extinguishment of debt | 31,226 | |||||
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA | 583,609 | |||||
Adjusted EBITDA attributable to non-controlling interest in subsidiaries | (30,386 | ) | ||||
Adjusted EBITDA attributable to Matador Resources Company shareholders | $ | 553,223 | ||||
Year Ended December 31, |
||||||
(In thousands) | 2018 | |||||
Unaudited Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation to | ||||||
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities: | ||||||
Net cash provided by operating activities | $ | 608,523 | ||||
Net change in operating assets and liabilities | (64,429 | ) | ||||
Interest expense, net of non-cash portion | 39,970 | |||||
Current income tax benefit | (455 | ) | ||||
Adjusted EBITDA attributable to non-controlling interest in subsidiaries | (30,386 | ) | ||||
Adjusted EBITDA attributable to Matador Resources Company shareholders | $ | 553,223 | ||||
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190226006191/en/
Source:
Mac Schmitz
Capital Markets Coordinator
(972) 371-5225
investors@matadorresources.com